Pre-tourney Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#109
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#105
Pace69.2#128
Improvement+1.7#93

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#95
First Shot+2.6#103
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#163
Layup/Dunks+2.7#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#301
Freethrows+2.3#41
Improvement+1.3#107

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#153
First Shot+0.6#151
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#173
Layups/Dunks-0.7#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#163
Freethrows+2.3#52
Improvement+0.4#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 119   Towson L 61-67 63%     0 - 1 -5.9 -8.4 +2.1
  Nov 18, 2016 216   Mount St. Mary's L 76-78 OT 81%     0 - 2 -8.1 -0.9 -7.0
  Nov 21, 2016 53   Houston L 56-93 26%     0 - 3 -27.0 -13.5 -13.0
  Nov 22, 2016 147   Kent St. W 79-75 59%     1 - 3 +5.1 +11.7 -6.4
  Nov 23, 2016 199   Bradley W 77-66 70%     2 - 3 +8.9 +4.3 +4.5
  Nov 26, 2016 218   James Madison W 80-77 OT 82%     3 - 3 -3.1 +5.2 -8.4
  Nov 30, 2016 153   @ Northern Iowa W 54-50 51%     4 - 3 +7.1 -6.3 +13.9
  Dec 03, 2016 146   Mercer W 79-68 68%     5 - 3 +9.6 +16.6 -5.2
  Dec 07, 2016 79   @ Penn St. W 85-66 30%     6 - 3 +27.9 +14.4 +12.3
  Dec 10, 2016 177   @ Penn W 79-60 56%     7 - 3 +20.9 +16.6 +6.1
  Dec 12, 2016 347   Longwood W 97-60 98%     8 - 3 +16.7 +13.9 +2.7
  Dec 22, 2016 321   Prairie View W 75-59 93%     9 - 3 +2.7 -10.5 +11.9
  Dec 30, 2016 51   Virginia Commonwealth L 64-73 34%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -1.2 -6.5 +5.6
  Jan 04, 2017 150   Massachusetts W 86-81 70%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +3.1 +9.5 -6.7
  Jan 07, 2017 91   @ St. Bonaventure L 72-82 35%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -2.5 +3.3 -5.9
  Jan 10, 2017 179   @ Saint Joseph's W 75-67 56%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +9.9 +4.0 +5.9
  Jan 14, 2017 244   Saint Louis L 56-63 85%     11 - 6 2 - 3 -14.5 -9.1 -6.5
  Jan 22, 2017 88   @ Richmond W 82-77 34%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +12.8 +3.5 +8.8
  Jan 25, 2017 113   George Washington L 68-87 61%     12 - 7 3 - 4 -18.5 -7.4 -10.6
  Jan 28, 2017 150   @ Massachusetts W 76-74 51%     13 - 7 4 - 4 +5.2 +9.4 -4.2
  Feb 01, 2017 244   @ Saint Louis L 74-76 2OT 71%     13 - 8 4 - 5 -4.4 +2.6 -7.0
  Feb 04, 2017 139   La Salle W 95-75 67%     14 - 8 5 - 5 +18.8 +23.1 -3.4
  Feb 08, 2017 87   @ Davidson W 76-69 32%     15 - 8 6 - 5 +15.1 +8.1 +7.1
  Feb 11, 2017 192   Fordham W 73-67 76%     16 - 8 7 - 5 +1.9 +5.3 -3.2
  Feb 14, 2017 88   Richmond W 93-70 53%     17 - 8 8 - 5 +25.7 +19.6 +5.9
  Feb 18, 2017 49   Rhode Island L 74-77 32%     17 - 9 8 - 6 +5.3 +12.9 -7.8
  Feb 21, 2017 47   @ Dayton L 70-83 17%     17 - 10 8 - 7 +0.4 +3.1 -2.6
  Feb 26, 2017 113   @ George Washington L 74-83 42%     17 - 11 8 - 8 -3.4 +2.6 -5.9
  Mar 01, 2017 209   Duquesne W 63-62 80%     18 - 11 9 - 8 -4.5 -6.7 +2.3
  Mar 04, 2017 51   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-72 19%     18 - 12 9 - 9 +0.8 -2.6 +2.8
  Mar 09, 2017 192   Fordham W 82-71 OT 69%     19 - 12 +9.4 +13.1 -3.7
  Mar 10, 2017 51   Virginia Commonwealth L 60-71 25%     19 - 13 -0.7 +0.0 -2.0
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%